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MikeyJoe
11-29-2009, 09:00 PM
1. Florida (1)
Remaining games: 12/5 vs. Alabama
In/Out: In no matter what. NGC or at large.

2. Alabama (2)
Remaining games: 12/5 vs. Florida
In/Out: See Florida.

3. Texas (3)
Remaining games: 12/5 vs. Nebraska
In/Out: In no matter what. NGC vs SEC champ or at large.

4. TCU (4)
In/Out: Almost a lock to be in as an at large.

5. Cincinnati (5)
Remaining games: 12/5 @ Pittsburg
In/Out: In if they win the Big East, with a potential at large pick even if they lose. The thing that helps Iowa is they're not an attractive at large pick from a fanbase size perspective if they don't win the Big East.

6. Boise State (6)
Remaining games: 12/5 vs New Mexico State
In/Out: I'm changing my prediction from what it's been the past few weeks and saying there's two non-BCS at large teams if everything goes as I've predicted above and there's no upsets in the conference title games that make the at-large picture more interesting.

7. Oregon: (7)
Remaining games: 12/3 vs Oregon State
In/Out: Predicting in with the Pac 10 auto pick. I'm not sure about the Pac 10's tiebreaker rules, but this should be irrelevant for Iowa. The 2nd place Pac 10 team will have a minimum of 3 losses and won't get an at large pick.

8. Ohio State (8)
In/Out: In as the Big 10 auto bid

9. Iowa (9)
In/Out: I'm predicting that the Fiesta takes Iowa over Penn State with their pick to replace Texas.

10. Georgia Tech (10)
Remaining Games: 12/5 vs Clemson
In/Out: In if they win the ACC title game. With their loss to Georgia last week, this game is now likely irrelevant as the Clemson/Ga Tech loser will have a minimum of 3 losses. The ACC's only at large hopes now are with Coastal Division #2 Va Tech.

11. Penn State
In/Out: I think Iowa vs Penn State is going to be the main decision with the remaining at large bid.

12. Virginia Tech
In/Out: Potential at large selection, but they already have three losses. I don't think they get it.

13. LSU
In/Out: Out of luck. There can't be 3 SEC teams.

14. BYU
In/Out: Yeah, no.

15. Pittsburgh
Remaining games: 12/5 vs Cincinnati
In/Out: Only in with the Big East auto-pick.

16. Oregon State
Remaining games: 12/3 vs. Oregon
In/Out: I'm thinking this is another conference where the title game (in effect if not officially for the Pac10) is irrelevant, as the #2 team won't get an at large.


For the first week that I've done this, I'm predicting #1-10 in the BCS standings to make BCS bowls. Someone else can look it up, but I don't know if that's ever happened before (or #1-8 in the 4 BCS bowl period).

MikeyJoe
11-29-2009, 09:03 PM
Rooting interest for Iowa:

SEC: Irrelevant. They're getting two teams no matter what.
Pac 10: Irrelevant. They're getting one team no matter what. If you need a rooting interest, root for Oregon.
ACC: With Georgia Tech's loss to Georgia, should be irrelevant. Va Tech is a potential at large pick but they're done playing.

12/5: Texas over Nebraska. I know some of you want to play Nebraska in a BCS bowl, but due to the BCS selection order I think we have to root for Texas here.
12/5: Cincy over Pitt to eliminate the possibility of Cincy as an at-large pick.
12/5: New Mexico over Boise State
12/5: GA Tech over Clemson. Shouldn't matter as if GA Tech loses they would be coming off 2 straight losses to end the season (and have 3 total losses) but let's root for GA Tech just in case.

I think at this point it's safe to say that Iowa's BCS chances are solely a matter of getting chosen over PSU, but again, the above games can't hurt.

Aloha Mr. Hand
11-30-2009, 09:09 AM
You have Georgia Tech in there 2x.

MikeyJoe
11-30-2009, 09:12 AM
You have Georgia Tech in there 2x.
Oops, thanks. I started with last week's and edited for changes, and I obviously missed deleting Ga Tech at #7 after moving them to #10.

Monster
11-30-2009, 09:13 AM
You have Georgia Tech in there 2x.

Well, they are pretty good.

Aloha Mr. Hand
11-30-2009, 09:15 AM
You have Georgia Tech in there 2x.

Well, they are pretty good.

Against Cumberland.

Monster
11-30-2009, 09:18 AM
You have Georgia Tech in there 2x.

Well, they are pretty good.

Against Cumberland.

That game was ridiculous.

Wild Onion
11-30-2009, 09:19 AM
12/5: Texas over Nebraska. I know some of you want to play Nebraska in a BCS bowl, but due to the BCS selection order I think we have to root for Texas here.

I still need someone to walk me through this one. Is the concern that Orange picks first and takes PSU?

Aloha Mr. Hand
11-30-2009, 09:20 AM
Well, they are pretty good.

Against Cumberland.

That game was ridiculous.

I took GATECH/CUMBERLAND Over 215. That late score helped.

Monster
11-30-2009, 09:25 AM
Against Cumberland.

That game was ridiculous.

I took GATECH/CUMBERLAND Over 215. That late score helped.

I thought Cumberland would cover. When you're +210, it seems likely that you might get a couple junk scores at the end. GTech played their starters too long IMO.

Kerky
11-30-2009, 11:38 AM
12/5: Texas over Nebraska. I know some of you want to play Nebraska in a BCS bowl, but due to the BCS selection order I think we have to root for Texas here.

I still need someone to walk me through this one. Is the concern that Orange picks first and takes PSU?

If Neb wins they go to a BCS bowl (Fiesta) as will Texas, taking away a slot from either the Big 10 or Boise State. Even if BSU is the team that is snubbed, the thinking is that the Orange may take PSU and not Iowa. Bottom line is we need to have Texas win.

Lime
11-30-2009, 12:06 PM
You have Georgia Tech in there 2x.

Well, they are pretty good.

Against Cumberland.

TranSouth is down this year.

bigazzturkeylegs
11-30-2009, 12:50 PM
12/5: Texas over Nebraska. I know some of you want to play Nebraska in a BCS bowl, but due to the BCS selection order I think we have to root for Texas here.

I still need someone to walk me through this one. Is the concern that Orange picks first and takes PSU?

If Neb wins they go to a BCS bowl (Fiesta) as will Texas, taking away a slot from either the Big 10 or Boise State. Even if BSU is the team that is snubbed, the thinking is that the Orange may take PSU and not Iowa. Bottom line is we need to have Texas win.
Texas would get picked by the Orange, and the Fiesta would be back to Iowa/PSU/BSU to face Nebraska.

I guess the worry is that they would take BSU because Nebraska would have no problem filling the stadium.

Monster
11-30-2009, 01:06 PM
Against Cumberland.

That game was ridiculous.

I took GATECH/CUMBERLAND Over 215. That late score helped.

Cripes. Check the link. Tech ran for 1,600 yards.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1916_Cumberland_vs._Georgia_Tech_football_game

Judge Kemp
11-30-2009, 01:18 PM
That game was ridiculous.

I took GATECH/CUMBERLAND Over 215. That late score helped.

Cripes. Check the link. Tech ran for 1,600 yards.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1916_Cumberland_vs._Georgia_Tech_football_game

If you search through past threads, Sambud has a nice story in there about the game. He was in College at the time, and him and a bunch of buddies roadtripped down to see the game and the vaunted G-Tech Single Wing.

Costanza
11-30-2009, 01:46 PM
I took GATECH/CUMBERLAND Over 215. That late score helped.

Cripes. Check the link. Tech ran for 1,600 yards.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1916_Cumberland_vs._Georgia_Tech_football_game

If you search through past threads, Sambud has a nice story in there about the game. He was in College at the time, and him and a bunch of buddies roadtripped down to see the game and the vaunted G-Tech Single Wing.


What a fun month that must have been.

danish_hawkeye
11-30-2009, 01:50 PM
Cripes. Check the link. Tech ran for 1,600 yards.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1916_Cumberland_vs._Georgia_Tech_football_game

If you search through past threads, Sambud has a nice story in there about the game. He was in College at the time, and him and a bunch of buddies roadtripped down to see the game and the vaunted G-Tech Single Wing.


What a fun month that must have been.

didn't two members of the party die of dysentary???

Judge Kemp
11-30-2009, 02:20 PM
If you search through past threads, Sambud has a nice story in there about the game. He was in College at the time, and him and a bunch of buddies roadtripped down to see the game and the vaunted G-Tech Single Wing.


What a fun month that must have been.

didn't two members of the party die of dysentary???

There were many hardships on the Georgia Trail.

Aloha Mr. Hand
11-30-2009, 09:06 PM
I took GATECH/CUMBERLAND Over 215. That late score helped.

Cripes. Check the link. Tech ran for 1,600 yards.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1916_Cumberland_vs._Georgia_Tech_football_game

If you search through past threads, Sambud has a nice story in there about the game. He was in College at the time, and him and a bunch of Civil War buddies roadtripped down to see the game and the vaunted G-Tech Single Wing.

Plausible.

PlannedSickDays
12-04-2009, 03:22 PM
If Clemson beats GT that could mean TCU in the fiesta since Clemson and TCU would be a rematch.

danish_hawkeye
12-04-2009, 03:30 PM
Tcu = do not want!!

brantshawks
12-04-2009, 03:36 PM
TCU = fuck'em. Bring them on.

Jimmie Dimmick
12-04-2009, 03:36 PM
Tcu = do not want!!

I do, more so than the Smurfs

MikeyJoe
12-05-2009, 10:28 AM
Bump for today's games of interest (with times):

11:00 AM Cincy v Pitt - ABC
2:00 Boise State v New Mexico - ESPN360
7:00 GA Tech v Clemson - ESPN
7:00 Texas v Nebraska - ABC

Other games of interest:

11:30 Illinois v. Fresno State - BTN
2:30 Arizona at USC - ABC
3:00 Florida v Alabama - CBS
10:30 PM - Wisconsin at Hawaii - ESPN2

Jimmie Dimmick
12-05-2009, 10:34 AM
Bump for today's games of interest (with times):

11:00 AM Cincy v Pitt - ABC
2:00 Boise State v New Mexico - ESPN360
7:00 GA Tech v Clemson - ESPN
7:00 Texas v Nebraska - ABC

Other games of interest:

11:30 Illinois v. Fresno State - BTN
3:00 Florida v Alabama - CBS
10:30 PM - Wisconsin at Hawaii - ESPN2

don't forget AZ @ USC

MikeyJoe
12-05-2009, 10:37 AM
Thanks. Added.