MikeyJoe
11-29-2009, 09:00 PM
1. Florida (1)
Remaining games: 12/5 vs. Alabama
In/Out: In no matter what. NGC or at large.
2. Alabama (2)
Remaining games: 12/5 vs. Florida
In/Out: See Florida.
3. Texas (3)
Remaining games: 12/5 vs. Nebraska
In/Out: In no matter what. NGC vs SEC champ or at large.
4. TCU (4)
In/Out: Almost a lock to be in as an at large.
5. Cincinnati (5)
Remaining games: 12/5 @ Pittsburg
In/Out: In if they win the Big East, with a potential at large pick even if they lose. The thing that helps Iowa is they're not an attractive at large pick from a fanbase size perspective if they don't win the Big East.
6. Boise State (6)
Remaining games: 12/5 vs New Mexico State
In/Out: I'm changing my prediction from what it's been the past few weeks and saying there's two non-BCS at large teams if everything goes as I've predicted above and there's no upsets in the conference title games that make the at-large picture more interesting.
7. Oregon: (7)
Remaining games: 12/3 vs Oregon State
In/Out: Predicting in with the Pac 10 auto pick. I'm not sure about the Pac 10's tiebreaker rules, but this should be irrelevant for Iowa. The 2nd place Pac 10 team will have a minimum of 3 losses and won't get an at large pick.
8. Ohio State (8)
In/Out: In as the Big 10 auto bid
9. Iowa (9)
In/Out: I'm predicting that the Fiesta takes Iowa over Penn State with their pick to replace Texas.
10. Georgia Tech (10)
Remaining Games: 12/5 vs Clemson
In/Out: In if they win the ACC title game. With their loss to Georgia last week, this game is now likely irrelevant as the Clemson/Ga Tech loser will have a minimum of 3 losses. The ACC's only at large hopes now are with Coastal Division #2 Va Tech.
11. Penn State
In/Out: I think Iowa vs Penn State is going to be the main decision with the remaining at large bid.
12. Virginia Tech
In/Out: Potential at large selection, but they already have three losses. I don't think they get it.
13. LSU
In/Out: Out of luck. There can't be 3 SEC teams.
14. BYU
In/Out: Yeah, no.
15. Pittsburgh
Remaining games: 12/5 vs Cincinnati
In/Out: Only in with the Big East auto-pick.
16. Oregon State
Remaining games: 12/3 vs. Oregon
In/Out: I'm thinking this is another conference where the title game (in effect if not officially for the Pac10) is irrelevant, as the #2 team won't get an at large.
For the first week that I've done this, I'm predicting #1-10 in the BCS standings to make BCS bowls. Someone else can look it up, but I don't know if that's ever happened before (or #1-8 in the 4 BCS bowl period).
Remaining games: 12/5 vs. Alabama
In/Out: In no matter what. NGC or at large.
2. Alabama (2)
Remaining games: 12/5 vs. Florida
In/Out: See Florida.
3. Texas (3)
Remaining games: 12/5 vs. Nebraska
In/Out: In no matter what. NGC vs SEC champ or at large.
4. TCU (4)
In/Out: Almost a lock to be in as an at large.
5. Cincinnati (5)
Remaining games: 12/5 @ Pittsburg
In/Out: In if they win the Big East, with a potential at large pick even if they lose. The thing that helps Iowa is they're not an attractive at large pick from a fanbase size perspective if they don't win the Big East.
6. Boise State (6)
Remaining games: 12/5 vs New Mexico State
In/Out: I'm changing my prediction from what it's been the past few weeks and saying there's two non-BCS at large teams if everything goes as I've predicted above and there's no upsets in the conference title games that make the at-large picture more interesting.
7. Oregon: (7)
Remaining games: 12/3 vs Oregon State
In/Out: Predicting in with the Pac 10 auto pick. I'm not sure about the Pac 10's tiebreaker rules, but this should be irrelevant for Iowa. The 2nd place Pac 10 team will have a minimum of 3 losses and won't get an at large pick.
8. Ohio State (8)
In/Out: In as the Big 10 auto bid
9. Iowa (9)
In/Out: I'm predicting that the Fiesta takes Iowa over Penn State with their pick to replace Texas.
10. Georgia Tech (10)
Remaining Games: 12/5 vs Clemson
In/Out: In if they win the ACC title game. With their loss to Georgia last week, this game is now likely irrelevant as the Clemson/Ga Tech loser will have a minimum of 3 losses. The ACC's only at large hopes now are with Coastal Division #2 Va Tech.
11. Penn State
In/Out: I think Iowa vs Penn State is going to be the main decision with the remaining at large bid.
12. Virginia Tech
In/Out: Potential at large selection, but they already have three losses. I don't think they get it.
13. LSU
In/Out: Out of luck. There can't be 3 SEC teams.
14. BYU
In/Out: Yeah, no.
15. Pittsburgh
Remaining games: 12/5 vs Cincinnati
In/Out: Only in with the Big East auto-pick.
16. Oregon State
Remaining games: 12/3 vs. Oregon
In/Out: I'm thinking this is another conference where the title game (in effect if not officially for the Pac10) is irrelevant, as the #2 team won't get an at large.
For the first week that I've done this, I'm predicting #1-10 in the BCS standings to make BCS bowls. Someone else can look it up, but I don't know if that's ever happened before (or #1-8 in the 4 BCS bowl period).