**Official 2020 Iowa Hawkeye Football Offseason Thread**

Pedro

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Play the season in the "spring" sounds good until you have to travel to Minneapolis, Madison, Iowa City and play in Janurary/February.
 

Thomas Wolsey

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The issue isn’t the bars, it is the dumbasses in them. And the political environment of college sports is just stupid right now.
 

douglasbader

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Play the season in the "spring" sounds good until you have to travel to Minneapolis, Madison, Iowa City and play in Janurary/February.
Last I checked, January and February aren't in the spring. If they play in the spring, it would be March-May.
 

Charles

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Locking down another month would have just pushed this current spread back one month.
Feels like it!!!!!


Sorry I just wanted to see what it felt like to use that. Feels kinda dirty.

Yeah the cases were going to spike whenever things opened up again. I feel like we could've gotten a better control of it before opening up, but too late now and we need to move forward and hopefully not have to shut it down again.
 

Pedro

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Last I checked, January and February aren't in the spring. If they play in the spring, it would be March-May.
So you're going to have student-athletes playing games a month after they've ended classes/graduated? Bowl games/playoffs in June/July? You loose two weekends in March due to spring break. Unless, you're going to play right through. It's not like those athletes would be allowed a standard 'spring break' trip anyway.
 

MikeyJoe

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Yeah the cases were going to spike whenever things opened up again. I feel like we could've gotten a better control of it before opening up, but too late now and we need to move forward and hopefully not have to shut it down again.
I mean, how? Or based on what? Are there any issues currently experiencing spikes that don't have enough PPE or are suffering from lack of access to care?
 

douglasbader

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Feels like it!!!!!


Sorry I just wanted to see what it felt like to use that. Feels kinda dirty.

Yeah the cases were going to spike whenever things opened up again. I feel like we could've gotten a better control of it before opening up, but too late now and we need to move forward and hopefully not have to shut it down again.
I think looking back, history will show that there really are on good options when dealing with something like this in the United States.

You can choose to let it burn through immediately and get out of it sooner, but that means lots and lots of death and healthcare being overwhelmed before you even know how to treat it.

You can lock everything down completely for a long time, but that only delays the spread and crushes your economy. You do keep old and sick people from dying.

You can do a hybrid model of initial lock down and then soft re-opening followed by some pull backs and stretch it out until you have a vaccine. Lots of people die, but not nearly as many. The economy will get hurt but not crushed. It is annoying as fuck, but here we are.
 

thrawn

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Israel's just a great example of what we're talking about. Lockdowns just delay spread, they don't eliminate it.

View attachment 21130

If you actually want to clamp down spread, you've got to do the more permanent changes like mask wearing, aggressive contract tracing & tracking, etc. like South Korea.
Oh you mean flattening the curve?
 

Charles

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I mean, how? Or based on what? Are there any issues currently experiencing spikes that don't have enough PPE or are suffering from lack of access to care?
Keeping people away from each other for longer. That 1 person that spread it to 5 other people at the bar and then they spread it to 3 people each and so on. These could have been avoided, reducing the total cases and making it easier to manage. Also, the numbers would probably be lower and the people freaking out wouldn't have the ammo of huge case numbers.
 

douglasbader

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The next super fucking annoying thing, even when there is a vaccine or multiple vaccines released by the end of the year, is going to be the same fucking morons on both side going crazy now that will move on to IS IT SAFE?? or IS IT A BILL GATES CONSPIRACY??

The people frightened that want to lock everything down and not send kids to school will be the first to worry about the safety and reliability of the vaccine. The fuck wearing a mask this is all a conspiracy retards will all refuse to take the vaccine because it obviously is a tracking program for Bill Gates against Qanon.

I hope the normal people in the middle riot and beat the absolute fuck out of both of these sides.
 

MikeyJoe

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Keeping people away from each other for longer. That 1 person that spread it to 5 other people at the bar and then they spread it to 3 people each and so on. These could have been avoided, reducing the total cases and making it easier to manage. Also, the numbers would probably be lower and the people freaking out wouldn't have the ammo of huge case numbers.
No. That's the entire point. Delaying doesn't do anything with those problems other than moving them to a different date on the calendar.

If anything, when we think about things like school and football, you could argue that we waited too long to open. A month more of lockdown and our late July spike is happening late August right as school is starting.
 

SteadyEddy

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The next super fucking annoying thing, even when there is a vaccine or multiple vaccines released by the end of the year, is going to be the same fucking morons on both side going crazy now that will move on to IS IT SAFE?? or IS IT A BILL GATES CONSPIRACY??

The people frightened that want to lock everything down and not send kids to school will be the first to worry about the safety and reliability of the vaccine. The fuck wearing a mask this is all a conspiracy retards will all refuse to take the vaccine because it obviously is a tracking program for Bill Gates against Qanon.

I hope the normal people in the middle riot and beat the absolute fuck out of both of these sides.
This is sort of a perverted dream of mine. But in all aspects of life, not just Covid.
 

MikeyJoe

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The next super fucking annoying thing, even when there is a vaccine or multiple vaccines released by the end of the year, is going to be the same fucking morons on both side going crazy now that will move on to IS IT SAFE?? or IS IT A BILL GATES CONSPIRACY??

The people frightened that want to lock everything down and not send kids to school will be the first to worry about the safety and reliability of the vaccine. The fuck wearing a mask this is all a conspiracy retards will all refuse to take the vaccine because it obviously is a tracking program for Bill Gates against Qanon.

I hope the normal people in the middle riot and beat the absolute fuck out of both of these sides.
This is already preemptively happening.
 

CUIHAWK

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The next super fucking annoying thing, even when there is a vaccine or multiple vaccines released by the end of the year, is going to be the same fucking morons on both side going crazy now that will move on to IS IT SAFE?? or IS IT A BILL GATES CONSPIRACY??

The people frightened that want to lock everything down and not send kids to school will be the first to worry about the safety and reliability of the vaccine. The fuck wearing a mask this is all a conspiracy retards will all refuse to take the vaccine because it obviously is a tracking program for Bill Gates against Qanon.

I hope the normal people in the middle riot and beat the absolute fuck out of both of these sides
.
Tougher and tougher to find these people, dougie.
 

Charles

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No. That's the entire point. Delaying doesn't do anything with those problems other than moving them to a different date on the calendar.

If anything, when we think about things like school and football, you could argue that we waited too long to open. A month more of lockdown and our late July spike is happening late August right as school is starting.
If the original person that spread it doesn't get the chance to spread it and are forced to be at home and get better without infecting others. The disease stops at them rather than continuing on through others. Could they get it down the road? Sure, but staying locked down longer would have had more people that had it not spread it and it ends with them. There isn't a perfect answer, but if we had a smaller case load, people wouldn't be freaking out as much.
 

douglasbader

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If the original person that spread it doesn't get the chance to spread it and are forced to be at home and get better without infecting others. The disease stops at them rather than continuing on through others. Could they get it down the road? Sure, but staying locked down longer would have had more people that had it not spread it and it ends with them. There isn't a perfect answer, but if we had a smaller case load, people wouldn't be freaking out as much.
You're kidding yourself with this.
 

MikeyJoe

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If the original person that spread it doesn't get the chance to spread it and are forced to be at home and get better without infecting others. The disease stops at them rather than continuing on through others. Could they get it down the road? Sure, but staying locked down longer would have had more people that had it not spread it and it ends with them. There isn't a perfect answer, but if we had a smaller case load, people wouldn't be freaking out as much.
No. Again. That logic only works for individuals, not the population. If there is a course of disease prevalence, unless you make actual South Korea style changes, you're just changing sequencing.
 

douglasbader

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Where would things have been at if we did actually proceed with life as normal and let this burn through in March/April/May?

I'm guessing that the death and overwhelming of the health care would have been somewhat devastating. Something awful like 500k dead? 1m? 2m?

Would we have basically been finished with the virus by end of May?
 

Thomas Wolsey

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The next super fucking annoying thing, even when there is a vaccine or multiple vaccines released by the end of the year, is going to be the same fucking morons on both side going crazy now that will move on to IS IT SAFE?? or IS IT A BILL GATES CONSPIRACY??

The people frightened that want to lock everything down and not send kids to school will be the first to worry about the safety and reliability of the vaccine. The fuck wearing a mask this is all a conspiracy retards will all refuse to take the vaccine because it obviously is a tracking program for Bill Gates against Qanon.

I hope the normal people in the middle riot and beat the absolute fuck out of both of these sides.
If the vaccine is between 50 and 90% effective that shit should be mandated as soon as there is supply.
 

douglasbader

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Probably true. It would give those fucks less ammo though.
Again, the only ammo they need when it college sports is one single bullet. That is the whole point as 5 shirt Larry made a page ago. Society regardless when it comes to college sports decided that one sick or dead player is too many no matter what the actual logic is.
 

Fair and Balanced

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It’s almost as if there are people that have come to love bitching the Nancy’s so much that they are now hoping there is no football. That could ruin everything.
 

douglasbader

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It’s almost as if there are people that have come to love bitching the Nancy’s so much that they are now hoping there is no football. That could ruin everything.
If that was directed at me, I still hope very much there is football.
 

Fair and Balanced

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The next super fucking annoying thing, even when there is a vaccine or multiple vaccines released by the end of the year, is going to be the same fucking morons on both side going crazy now that will move on to IS IT SAFE?? or IS IT A BILL GATES CONSPIRACY??

The people frightened that want to lock everything down and not send kids to school will be the first to worry about the safety and reliability of the vaccine. The fuck wearing a mask this is all a conspiracy retards will all refuse to take the vaccine because it obviously is a tracking program for Bill Gates against Qanon.

I hope the normal people in the middle riot and beat the absolute fuck out of both of these sides.
No link as I heard this on a podcast but the “I’m not taking the vaccine” polled at 50%.
 

Pedro

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I knew Michigan has struggled with OSU as of late, but I didn't realize they have only won one game in the last 16 and OSU has won eight in a row. It would be awesome to beat OSU at the shoe this year. That would be humiliating to Michigan if they have a lackluster season.
 

douglasbader

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No link as I heard this on a podcast but the “I’m not taking the vaccine” polled at 50%.
Same thing with no link, but on CNN the narrative already around the what should be incredible news that there are multiple vaccines working and in phase 3 trials in record time and a modern scientific and human achievement is skepticism about the safety because the timeline was unprecedented.

You can't fucking win with people on any level. We have a global pandemic and government and science and technology has brought us to a time and place where we can have a viable, working vaccine in less than 12 months and people revert back to superstition.
 

MikeyJoe

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Where would things have been at if we did actually proceed with life as normal and let this burn through in March/April/May?

I'm guessing that the death and overwhelming of the health care would have been somewhat devastating. Something awful like 500k dead? 1m? 2m?

Would we have basically been finished with the virus by end of May?
Based on what we now know about mortality rate, 2M was never going to happen. Even at a 70% herd immunity threshold, you're talking about somewhere between 500k-1M.

The real question is what level is actually required for spread to fall off. If it actually is in the 20-30% instead of 60-70%, you're talking about something like 250k-500k deaths.
 

MikeyJoe

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I knew Michigan has struggled with OSU as of late, but I didn't realize they have only won one game in the last 16 and OSU has won eight in a row. It would be awesome to beat OSU at the shoe this year. That would be humiliating to Michigan if they have a lackluster season.
I also think it would be awesome to beat Ohio State on the road.
 
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