There's a reasonable probability that Michigan legit sucks. They lost to Western Michigan, barely beat Oklahoma (who almost lost to New Mexico), and were basically tied with UTEP at half time. They put up some points on UTEP in the second half, but do you know how bad the UTEP defense is? Oklahoma's offense put up 51 on them.
For something like 31-10 to happen, offensively they need to be able to run the ball and Hank has to not poop himself. On defense, edge play needs to be there to stop outside runs and contain Underwood, and being +2 in the TO margin could unlock an ass kicking.
I would have believed a score like this was possible if I saw Iowa run the ball for 5YPC+ against ISU. Their inability to do that, and this being Hank's first road start, has me assuming this is going to be a bad offensive performance. I can't remember the last time Iowa's offense looked solid in September against a team with a pulse. Hopefully Lester proves me wrong.